Will EUDR delays mean better preparation or dilution?

coffee train station
  • EUDR implementation has been delayed by 12 months
  • The delay was driven by both technical and political factors
  • After 20 years in development, EUDR remains firm, but does this delay hint at easing requirements?

IN a decision that has divided stakeholders across industries, the European Union (EU) has announced a 12-month delay in the implementation of its Deforestation Regulation (EUDR). 

Initially set to come into force in December 2024, the regulation would have required companies importing key commodities – including coffee, cocoa, and soy – into the EU to prove that their supply chains were not linked to deforestation. 

However, amid growing opposition from both European importers and global suppliers, the European Commission has proposed postponing the regulation’s start date to December 2025 for large companies and mid-2026 for smaller enterprises. 

Countries such as Brazil and Australia advocated for a delay, claiming that EU officials were relying on inaccurate data to assess forests. Meanwhile, Indonesia and Ivory Coast expressed concerns that the regulation could disproportionately impact small farmers and negatively affect their exports.

“I think the delay was motivated by a combination of technical and political factors,” says Auret Van Heerden, Founder & CEO at Equiception Business and Human Rights.

“On the technical side, the Commission was behind schedule in mounting the reporting portal, some Member States had yet to upgrade their customs and enforcement systems, and many economic operators were not equipped to trace their value chains and conduct the required due diligence checks.

On the political side, major EU trading partners were pushing for a delay, and some political parties were challenging what they see as unreasonable reporting burdens in the EU, particularly relating to the environment.”

Delays are also driven by concerns from both sides of the supply chain. Exporting countries, particularly in regions like South America and Southeast Asia, have argued that smallholder farmers will struggle to meet the stringent traceability and compliance requirements. 

For EU importers, there are concerns about the logistical challenges of implementing such detailed supply chain verification within a tight timeframe. The complexity of tracing deforestation-free products, particularly for industries like coffee, where supply chains can be opaque and dispersed, has made the postponement a welcome relief for some.

This delay will undoubtedly ripple across agricultural value chains, especially in the coffee sector. Coffee, one of the commodities most closely tied to smallholder farmers, is expected to be heavily affected by the EUDR. 

The regulation would have required EU importers to map their supply chains down to the farm level, a task that many have already begun preparing for through technology investments and partnerships with traceability platforms. 

The extra year gives all players in the coffee value chain – producers, exporters, and importers – additional time to prepare, but it also raises questions about whether momentum will be lost in the interim.

Historical precedents: Do delays signal bigger changes?

Regulatory delays are not new, particularly in environmental and trade policy, where the stakes are high and the interests varied. 

One notable example is the delay of the European Union’s Renewable Energy Directive (RED II), which faced pushback from industry groups over its sustainability criteria for biofuels. After a prolonged postponement, the directive was eventually implemented, but in a diluted form that allowed for certain exemptions,  eliminating binding targets at the national level, while setting a lower 27% as the overall goal for 2030.

Another case is the U.S. Clean Power Plan, an Obama-era regulation aimed at reducing carbon emissions from power plants. The regulation was delayed by legal challenges and ultimately abandoned by the Trump administration, demonstrating that delays can sometimes lead to cancellations or significant weakening of the original policy.

Delays can also have unintended consequences. In the case of the RED II, the postponement allowed biofuel producers to continue operating under the old rules, which arguably resulted in greater environmental degradation during the delay period. Conversely, delays can also provide a crucial window for industries to adapt. 

The extra time can be used to build infrastructure, enhance compliance systems, and foster dialogue between regulators and businesses, leading to more robust and practical solutions when the regulation is finally enacted.

In the context of the EUDR, it remains unclear whether this delay signals a broader reconsideration of the policy or simply a logistical adjustment. Environmental groups have already voiced concerns that the postponement could weaken the EU’s climate goals. 

History suggests that while delays often lead to modifications, outright cancellation is rare once a regulation has gained significant political and public momentum. 

“There is still the wild card of politics,” says Auret. “The possibility that some parties target the EUDR as an example of EU bureaucracy cannot be ruled out.”

The EUDR, tied closely to the EU’s broader environmental ambitions and almost 20 years in the making – it can be traced back to the 2003 Forest Law Enforcement, Governance and Trade (FLEGT) action plan – is likely to survive in some form, though losing its momentum could have notable repercussions.

green coffee bags

The coffee sector: Navigating a year of uncertainty

For the coffee industry, the 12-month delay poses both challenges and opportunities. On the one hand, EU coffee importers who have already invested heavily in preparation for the regulation may find themselves in a state of limbo. 

Many companies have spent significant resources upgrading their supply chain systems, partnering with tech platforms, and conducting due diligence to ensure they can meet the EUDR’s requirements. 

For these firms, the delay could lead to frustration, as the anticipated regulatory pressure is deferred. Yet, savvy businesses may use the extra time to further fine-tune their compliance processes, ensuring they are well-positioned when the regulation finally takes effect.

“I think most of the economic actors and affected stakeholders are relieved that they will have more time to prepare for EUDR implementation,” says Auret. 

“Yes, civil society organisations have been critical of the delay, and fear the worst, but frankly, anyone who works with the upstream farmers, processors and traders knows that they needed more time to tool up. I think that the risk of unintended consequences remains however, and the delay does not change that.”

The impact on coffee producers and exporters, particularly in regions like Latin America and Africa, is more nuanced. For some, the delay will be a welcome reprieve, allowing more time to build the necessary infrastructure for compliance. 

Smallholder farmers, many of whom lack the resources to implement advanced traceability systems, will benefit from the extra time to align with EUDR requirements. However, the delay also presents the risk that producers may revert to “business as usual” practices, delaying much-needed investments in sustainable farming practices and supply chain transparency.

“The burdens of investing in new systems and practices falls mainly on the millions of SMEs and cooperatives in the upstream value chain and we must mobilise the resources and support that they need,” says Auret.

“I’m not worried about the big traders, roasters and brands though. They know how much they still have to do and will keep working to prepare for December 2025. Hopefully, they will also take the opportunity to channel more support to their upstream suppliers and producers.”

Meanwhile, the tech companies and consultants that have thrived on the EUDR’s imminent implementation may face a temporary slowdown in demand. These businesses – ranging from traceability platform providers to sustainability consultants – have seen a surge in activity as importers and producers scrambled to meet the regulation’s original timeline. 

While some companies may experience a dip in business due to the delay, others could seize the opportunity to expand their services and build longer-term relationships with clients preparing for the eventual enforcement of the EUDR.

The 12-month delay in the EU Deforestation Regulation offers a temporary respite for the coffee industry, but it also raises critical questions about how this time will be used. Will companies capitalise on the additional time to fully prepare for the regulation, or will the delay erode the momentum needed for meaningful change? 

For the coffee sector, much will depend on whether industry players view this postponement as a chance to innovate – or as an excuse to procrastinate.


Coffee Intelligence

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